Page 251 - Konsep Final Disertasi Agung S. 23 April 2024

Dynamic Simultaneous Simulation

Solution Range THN=2021(1)-2023(12)

Theil Forecast Error Statistics

MSE Decomposition Proportions Inequality
Coef

Peubah Endogen N RMSE RMPSE Corr Bias Reg Dist U
(R) (UM) (UR) (UD)
GPSFFI 36 5.2971 1.3288 0.9472 0.003 0.251 0.746 0.0068
PSFFIDOCFS 36 0.0547 1.2627 0.8926 0.019 0.063 0.918 0.0065
PSFFIFeed 36 2.0882 1.552 0.7607 0.000 0.225 0.774 0.4169
CFFILB 36 1.005 0.000 0.8741 0.006 0.295 0.699 0.2590
GPSFPI 36 6.3533 1.7942 0.9361 0.000 0.544 0.456 0.0090
PSFPIDOCFS 36 7.2753 2.9736 0.9269 0.001 0.019 0.980 0.0156
PSFPIFeed 36 2.1888 2.9736 0.9923 0.015 0.069 0.916 0.0276
CFPPILB 36 3.514 0.000 0.867 0.718 0.226 0.002 0.0619
PSFNGPSDOCFS 36 3.674 1.4419 0.8813 0.753 0.001 0.247 0.0631
PSFNGPSFeed 36 3.614 1.35208 0.8444 0.718 0.045 0.237 0.0619
CFILB 36 1.223 0.2219 0.7211 0.000 0.002 0.201 0.0301
CIFLB 36 3.531 1.2019 0.8442 0.000 0.004 0.000 0.0021
BLB 36 2.203 1.6722 0.9333 0.001 0.055 0.002 0.0044
CDLB 36 3.111 1.3321 0.9322 0.003 0.000 0.022 0.0459

Descriptive Statistics

Actual Predicted
Variables N MEAN Std MEAN Std
GPSFFI 36 9.52778 0,65405 9.42 0,55419
PSFFIDOCFS 36 3,127,286 2,673,489 3,289,567 2,975,422
PSFFIFeed 36 354,846,825 22,966,148 385,923,575 32,627,852
CFFILB 36 94,080,714 5,330,038 98,950,021 8,803,771
GPSFPI 36 8.19444 2,026 7.9123 1,249
PSFPIDOCFS 36 35,048,184 2,285,383 36,701,453 3,656,613
PSFPIFeed 36 3,960,444,792 17,949,420 4,309,640,021 33,725,202
CFPPILB 36 20,380,161 3,656,613 20,681,998 3,145,112
PSFNGPSDOCFS 36 81,471,940 6,716,953 82,926,118 8,973,546
PSFNGPSFeed 36 9,206,329,247 47,454,437 9,935,810,082 56,655,812
CFILB 36 72,246,340 1,828,306 75,759,662 2,285,383
CIFLB 36 20,228,966 1,371,230 19,783,682 878,734
BLB 36 15,733,640 2,742,460 16,014,621 3,199,536
CDLB 36 2,247,663 458,915 2,119,863 578,865

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